Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.190624 0.227445 0.268813 0.318637 0.376917 0.442826 0.522909
2025-03-16 0.130035 0.175121 0.231547 0.306952 0.404629 0.526384 0.689092
2025-03-23 0.103408 0.152372 0.218722 0.314346 0.447612 0.625558 0.879706
2025-03-30 0.085431 0.135737 0.208561 0.320253 0.485461 0.718636 1.069833
2025-04-06 0.070146 0.119262 0.194688 0.316921 0.507418 0.789571 1.234486
2025-04-13 0.058709 0.106194 0.183136 0.314176 0.528170 0.858995 1.402207
2025-04-20 0.052136 0.099698 0.180546 0.324444 0.569307 0.962302 1.630719
2025-04-27 0.049894 0.100188 0.189340 0.354207 0.644900 1.126700 1.971174
2025-05-04 0.045437 0.095779 0.188793 0.367408 0.693481 1.251100 2.257365
2025-05-11 0.039174 0.086772 0.178501 0.361479 0.707382 1.317697 2.451442
2025-05-18 0.032918 0.076633 0.164498 0.346515 0.702670 1.350667 2.589019
2025-05-25 0.027527 0.067309 0.150643 0.329770 0.692209 1.371513 2.705616
2025-06-01 0.025345 0.064826 0.150710 0.341609 0.739724 1.506068 3.048331
2025-06-08 0.021400 0.057572 0.139641 0.328977 0.737245 1.546525 3.219366
2025-06-15 0.019551 0.054965 0.138304 0.336850 0.777434 1.672950 3.566721
2025-06-22 0.017817 0.052303 0.136410 0.343146 0.814831 1.797029 3.920109
2025-06-29 0.015714 0.048249 0.130586 0.339594 0.830234 1.877437 4.192046
2025-07-06 0.013925 0.044677 0.125360 0.336667 0.846532 1.960911 4.477187
2025-07-13 0.013021 0.043441 0.125832 0.347615 0.895790 2.118961 4.932664
2025-07-20 0.013105 0.045141 0.134196 0.379338 0.997197 2.399136 5.672753
2025-07-27 0.012398 0.044291 0.135605 0.393404 1.057622 2.593378 6.240220
2025-08-03 0.010985 0.040918 0.129555 0.387087 1.067347 2.673928 6.561719
2025-08-10 0.009424 0.036702 0.120415 0.371141 1.051011 2.692797 6.745050